Open Pop Culture Polymarket

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Top outcomes

July 1 99%
July 4 94%
July 7 94%
July 6 93%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

$17K Vol. Closes Jul 31, 2026

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$17.4k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$17K Vol.

July 1

99% market probability

99%

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0 / 2,000

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July 4

94% market probability

94%

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July 7

94% market probability

94%

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0 / 2,000

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July 6

93% market probability

93%

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0 / 2,000

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July 11

93% market probability

93%

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0 / 2,000

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July 2

92% market probability

92%

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0 / 2,000

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July 3

92% market probability

92%

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0 / 2,000

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July 8

92% market probability

92%

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0 / 2,000

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July 9

92% market probability

92%

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0 / 2,000

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July 13

92% market probability

92%

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0 / 2,000

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July 21

92% market probability

92%

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0 / 2,000

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July 28

92% market probability

92%

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0 / 2,000

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July 10

92% market probability

92%

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0 / 2,000

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July 18

92% market probability

92%

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0 / 2,000

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July 20

92% market probability

92%

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0 / 2,000

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July 25

92% market probability

92%

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0 / 2,000

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July 27

92% market probability

92%

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0 / 2,000

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July 31

92% market probability

92%

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0 / 2,000

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July 14

91% market probability

91%

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0 / 2,000

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July 15

91% market probability

91%

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0 / 2,000

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July 17

91% market probability

91%

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0 / 2,000

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July 30

91% market probability

91%

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0 / 2,000

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July 16

90% market probability

90%

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0 / 2,000

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July 22

90% market probability

90%

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July 23

90% market probability

90%

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0 / 2,000

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July 24

90% market probability

90%

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0 / 2,000

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July 29

90% market probability

90%

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0 / 2,000

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July 5

90% market probability

90%

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0 / 2,000

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July 12

90% market probability

90%

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0 / 2,000

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July 19

90% market probability

90%

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0 / 2,000

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July 26

90% market probability

90%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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