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Alaska Senate Election Winner

Top outcomes

Mary Peltola 66%
Sen. Dan Sullivan 34%
Ann Diener 0%
David Leslie 0%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

$462K Vol. Closes Nov 3, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$461.6k Vol.

All outcomes

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$462K Vol.

Mary Peltola

66% market probability

66%

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0 / 2,000

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Sen. Dan Sullivan

34% market probability

34%

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0 / 2,000

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Ann Diener

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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David Leslie

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Dustin Darden

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Richard Grayson

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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