Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Which party will win the House in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Russia nuclear test by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? California Governor Election Winner New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year
Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Which party will win the House in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Russia nuclear test by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? California Governor Election Winner New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year
Open Polymarket

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Top outcomes

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 53%
Bernadette Wilson 36%
David Bronson 8%
Click Bishop 2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Alaska gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

View on Polymarket
$1.2M Vol. Closes Nov 3, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$1.2m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$1.2M Vol.

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins

53% market probability

53%

Explain your Yes on Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins Explain your No on Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Bernadette Wilson

36% market probability

36%

Explain your Yes on Bernadette Wilson Explain your No on Bernadette Wilson (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

David Bronson

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on David Bronson Explain your No on David Bronson (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Click Bishop

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on Click Bishop Explain your No on Click Bishop (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Treg Taylor

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on Treg Taylor Explain your No on Treg Taylor (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Tom Begich

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on Tom Begich Explain your No on Tom Begich (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Bill Walker

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Bill Walker Explain your No on Bill Walker (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Matt Heilala

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Matt Heilala Explain your No on Matt Heilala (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Shelley Hughes

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Shelley Hughes Explain your No on Shelley Hughes (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Adam Crum

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Adam Crum Explain your No on Adam Crum (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Hank Kroll

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Hank Kroll Explain your No on Hank Kroll (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Matt Claman

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Matt Claman Explain your No on Matt Claman (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Bruce Walden

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Bruce Walden Explain your No on Bruce Walden (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Edna DeVries

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Edna DeVries Explain your No on Edna DeVries (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

James Parkin

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on James Parkin Explain your No on James Parkin (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Mary Peltola

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Mary Peltola Explain your No on Mary Peltola (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Lisa Murkowski

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Lisa Murkowski Explain your No on Lisa Murkowski (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Nancy Dahlstrom

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Nancy Dahlstrom Explain your No on Nancy Dahlstrom (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Lesil McGuire

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Lesil McGuire Explain your No on Lesil McGuire (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Gregg Brelsford

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Gregg Brelsford Explain your No on Gregg Brelsford (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Jessica Faircloth

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Jessica Faircloth Explain your No on Jessica Faircloth (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Destry J. Payne Sr.

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on Destry J. Payne Sr. Explain your No on Destry J. Payne Sr. (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.