Presidential Election Winner 2028 Largest Company end of December 2026? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Israel closes its airspace by...? NBA: 2027 Champion Trump out as President before 2027? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Brazil Presidential Election Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Presidential Election Winner 2028 Largest Company end of December 2026? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Israel closes its airspace by...? NBA: 2027 Champion Trump out as President before 2027? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Brazil Presidential Election Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
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What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Top outcomes

Iran Reconstruction Funding 12%
1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium 10%
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) 10%
Dilution of Iran's Uranium 8%

Rules

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$795K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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$794.8k Vol.

All outcomes

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$795K Vol.

Iran Reconstruction Funding

12% market probability

12%

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0 / 2,000

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1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

10% market probability

10%

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Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

10% market probability

10%

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Dilution of Iran's Uranium

8% market probability

8%

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≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

8% market probability

8%

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Enriched Uranium Surrender

6% market probability

6%

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0 / 2,000

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