Presidential Election Winner 2028 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Xi Jinping out before 2027? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Pro Football: 2027 Champion NBA: 2027 Champion Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Trump out as President before 2027? Crude Oil all time high by...? EPL: 2027 Champion MLB World Series Champion 2026 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Epstein client list released by...? Texas Senate Election Winner Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? NFL Champion 2027
Presidential Election Winner 2028 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Xi Jinping out before 2027? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Pro Football: 2027 Champion NBA: 2027 Champion Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Trump out as President before 2027? Crude Oil all time high by...? EPL: 2027 Champion MLB World Series Champion 2026 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Epstein client list released by...? Texas Senate Election Winner Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? NFL Champion 2027
Open World Polymarket

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Top outcomes

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) 14%
Dilution of Iran's Uranium 12%
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) 12%
1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium 10%

Rules

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$1.3M Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$1.3m Vol.

All outcomes

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$1.3M Vol.

Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

14% market probability

14%

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0 / 2,000

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Dilution of Iran's Uranium

12% market probability

12%

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0 / 2,000

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≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

12% market probability

12%

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1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

10% market probability

10%

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0 / 2,000

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Iran Reconstruction Funding

9% market probability

9%

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0 / 2,000

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Enriched Uranium Surrender

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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