Largest Company end of June? Bitcoin all time high by ___? Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? Russia nuclear test by...? Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? F1 Constructors' Champion Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Highest grossing movie in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? MLB: 2026 National League Champion Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? US strike on Mexico by...? Iran leadership change by...? Next French Presidential Election Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Largest Company end of June? Bitcoin all time high by ___? Alien abduction at Brazil vs Scotland game in Miami? Russia nuclear test by...? Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? F1 Constructors' Champion Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Highest grossing movie in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? MLB: 2026 National League Champion Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? US strike on Mexico by...? Iran leadership change by...? Next French Presidential Election Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Open Polymarket

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Top outcomes

Iran Reconstruction Funding 48%
Dilution of Iran's Uranium 43%
Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) 40%
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) 38%

Rules

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$53K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$53.1k Vol.

All outcomes

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$53K Vol.

Iran Reconstruction Funding

48% market probability

48%

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0 / 2,000

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Dilution of Iran's Uranium

43% market probability

43%

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0 / 2,000

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Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year)

40% market probability

40%

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≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)

38% market probability

38%

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1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium

32% market probability

32%

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0 / 2,000

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Enriched Uranium Surrender

19% market probability

19%

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0 / 2,000

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