Open
Politics
Polymarket
Clacton by-election Winner
Top outcomes
Nigel Farage
94%
Other
50%
Person B
50%
Person C
50%
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Clacton is expected to be held soon following the announced resignation of incumbent Nigel Farage.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Clacton parliamentary by-election.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Tendring District Council (https://www.tendringdc.gov.uk/) and the UK Parliament (https://www.parliament.uk/).
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Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$2.0m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$2.0M Vol.
Nigel Farage
94% market probability
94%
Yes 94%
+6 / −94
No 6%
+94 / −6
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person B
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person C
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person U
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person V
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person W
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person X
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Y
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person Z
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AA
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AB
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AC
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AD
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AE
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AF
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AG
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AH
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AI
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AJ
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AK
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AL
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AM
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AN
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AO
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AP
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AQ
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Person AR
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Count Binface
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Jovan Owusu-Nepaul
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Andrew Pemberton
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Tony Mack
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Giles Watling
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Natasha Osben
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Matthew Bensilum
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
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