Politics

Who wins the Senate pending oil above or below $80 before the midterms?

Oil ≥ $80; D Senate 63% Yes No

Oil ≥ $80; R Senate 31% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$446K Vol.

Polymarket

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

Oil ≥ $85; D Senate 59% Yes No

Oil ≥ $85; R Senate 31% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$618K Vol.

Polymarket

WI-05 House Election Winner

Scott Fitzgerald (R) 97% Yes No

Andrew Beck (D) 2% Yes No

$108K Vol.

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WI-07 House Election Winner

Michael Alfonso (R) 94% Yes No

Fred Clark (D) 4% Yes No

$78K Vol.

Polymarket

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

David Crowley (D) 80% Yes No

Tom Tiffany (R) 20% Yes No

$726K Vol.

Polymarket

Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

Other 50% Yes No

Candidate A 50% Yes No

+40 more outcomes

$219K Vol.

Polymarket

Next Mayor of Ekurhuleni (Germiston)?

Other 50% Yes No

Person C 50% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$45K Vol.

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New Zealand legislative election winner?

Labour Party 54% Yes No

National Party 44% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$65K Vol.

Polymarket

Which coalition will form the next New Zealand government?

National + ACT + NZF 40% Yes No

Labour + Green 29% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$65K Vol.

Polymarket

Next Mayor of Johannesburg?

Helen Zille 52% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+40 more outcomes

$127K Vol.

Polymarket

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

Kuomintang (KMT) 66% Yes No

Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) 31% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$310K Vol.

Polymarket

Hsinchu City Mayor Election Winner

Ann Kao 88% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$31K Vol.

Polymarket

Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner

Lai Jui-lung 82% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$67K Vol.

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New Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Su Chiao-hui 65% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$123K Vol.

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Taipei Mayor Election Winner

Chiang Wan-an 62% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.

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Victoria Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

One Nation 57% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$26K Vol.

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Spain General Election Winner

PP 84% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+31 more outcomes

$117K Vol.

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Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by...?

November 30 56% Yes No

October 31 26% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$140K Vol.

Polymarket

US-Yemen ceasefire continues through...?

October 9 100% Yes No

October 12 100% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?

No 94%

Yes 6%

$866K Vol.

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US imports Russian diesel by...?

November 30 28% Yes No

October 31 3% Yes No

$299K Vol.

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Venezuela de facto leader end of 2026?

Delcy Rodríguez 94% Yes No

María Corina Machado 3% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$411K Vol.

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Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

No 17%

Yes 83%

$847K Vol.

Polymarket

Will any country expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31?

No 74%

Yes 26%

$34K Vol.

Polymarket