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Polymarket
New Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Top outcomes
Su Chiao-hui
56%
Other
50%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
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Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$113.5k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$114K Vol.
Su Chiao-hui
56% market probability
56%
Yes 56%
+44 / −56
No 44%
+56 / −44
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate A
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate B
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate C
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate U
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate V
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate W
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate X
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Y
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate Z
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Lee Shu-chuan
43% market probability
43%
Yes 43%
+57 / −43
No 57%
+43 / −57
Huang Kuo-chang
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
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