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New Zealand legislative election winner?

Top outcomes

Labour Party 58%
National Party 42%
Green Party 0%
ACT New Zealand 0%

A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid part list votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed name appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the New Zealand House of Representatives in this election. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by New Zealand government sources such as the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).

$50K Vol. Closes Nov 7, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$49.5k Vol.

All outcomes

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$50K Vol.

Labour Party

58% market probability

58%

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0 / 2,000

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National Party

42% market probability

42%

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0 / 2,000

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Green Party

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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ACT New Zealand

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Te Pāti Māori

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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New Zealand First Party

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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