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Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo
Top outcomes
Other
50%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Candidate C
50%
The runoff round of the Brazilian presidential election is scheduled to take place on October 25, 2026. Legislative elections in Israel are scheduled to be held on October 27, 2026. The United States midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to the single listed outcome that matches all three of the following: the winner of the Brazilian presidential election, the first Prime Minister of Israel to be sworn in as a result of the election, and the party that wins control of the United States Senate in the midterm elections.
For full rules for the Brazilian presidential election, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-presidential-election
For full rules for the Israeli Prime Minister, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-next-prime-minister-of-israel-after-the-next-election
For full rules for the United States Senate control, click here: https://polymarket.com/event/which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026
Additional options may be added to this market between market creation and resolution.
In the event that any constituent market resolves to "Other," this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve according to the sources named in the three markets linked above.
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$182K Vol.
Closes Nov 5, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$182.4k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$182K Vol.
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Candidate A
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate A
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate B
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate B
Explain your No on Candidate B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate C
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate D
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate E
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate F
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate G
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate G
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate H
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate H
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate I
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate I
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate J
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate J
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate K
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate K
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate L
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate L
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate M
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate M
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate N
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate N
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate O
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate O
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate P
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate P
Explain your No on Candidate P
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate Q
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate Q
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate R
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate R
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate S
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate S
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate T
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate T
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate U
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate U
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate V
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate V
Explain your No on Candidate V
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate W
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate W
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate X
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate X
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate Y
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate Y
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate Z
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate Z
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate AA
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate AA
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate AB
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate AB
Explain your No on Candidate AB
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate AC
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate AC
Explain your No on Candidate AC
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems
36% market probability
36%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 36%
+64 / −36
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 64%
+36 / −64
Explain your Yes on Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems
Explain your No on Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps
Explain your No on Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems
Explain your No on Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Reps
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Reps
Explain your No on Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Reps
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lula, Eizenkot, Dems
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Lula, Eizenkot, Dems
Explain your No on Lula, Eizenkot, Dems
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bolsonaro, Bennett, Dems
7% market probability
7%
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
No 93%
+7 / −93
Explain your Yes on Bolsonaro, Bennett, Dems
Explain your No on Bolsonaro, Bennett, Dems
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bolsonaro, Bennett, Reps
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Bolsonaro, Bennett, Reps
Explain your No on Bolsonaro, Bennett, Reps
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lula, Netanyahu, Dems
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Lula, Netanyahu, Dems
Explain your No on Lula, Netanyahu, Dems
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lula, Netanyahu, Reps
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Lula, Netanyahu, Reps
Explain your No on Lula, Netanyahu, Reps
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lula, Bennett, Dems
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Lula, Bennett, Dems
Explain your No on Lula, Bennett, Dems
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lula, Bennett, Reps
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Lula, Bennett, Reps
Explain your No on Lula, Bennett, Reps
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lula, Eizenkot, Reps
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Lula, Eizenkot, Reps
Explain your No on Lula, Eizenkot, Reps
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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