Politics

Elections, policy, and government

415 open forecasts

Events in Politics

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Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

December 31 11% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

December 31 22% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Japan declassifies new UFO files in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$11K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

JD Vance out as VP by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$241K Vol.
Polymarket

Jeanine Pirro out as D.C. U.S. Attorney by...?

December 31, 2026 28% Yes No
August 6, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$122K Vol.
Polymarket

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Kash Patel out by...?

December 31 23% Yes No
September 30 2% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$273K Vol.
Polymarket

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$540K Vol.
Polymarket

Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$279K Vol.
Polymarket

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$19K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Macron out by...?

December 31, 2026 5% Yes No
July 31, 2026 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

December 31 32% Yes No
September 30 9% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$6.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

December 31 20% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$867K Vol.
Polymarket World

Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
September 30 3% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$165K Vol.
Polymarket

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$942K Vol.
Polymarket World

NATO article 5 before 2027?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$212K Vol.
Polymarket

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

December 31, 2026 7% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$482K Vol.
Polymarket

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31 48% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$124.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Starmer or Petro)

Netanyahu - Israel PM 40% Yes No
None before 2027 38% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$254K Vol.
Polymarket

Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$162K Vol.
Polymarket

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

December 31, 2026 14% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No
$565K Vol.
Polymarket