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Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? US military action against Cuba by...? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Highest grossing movie in 2026? Fed Decision in October? F1 Constructors' Champion Russia nuclear test by...? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Largest Company end of December 2026? NBA: 2027 Champion
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Clavicular in jail by...?

Top outcomes

December 31 28%
October 31 2%
September 30 0%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Braden Eric Peters (known as Clavicular) serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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$15K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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$15.1k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$15K Vol.

December 31

28% market probability

28%

Explain your Yes on December 31 Explain your No on December 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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October 31

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on October 31 Explain your No on October 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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September 30

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on September 30 Explain your No on September 30 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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