Open
Polymarket
Kaohsiung Mayor Election Winner
Top outcomes
Lai Jui-lung
75%
Other
50%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Kaohsiung as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Read more
Show less
$66K Vol.
Closes Nov 29, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
Open on Polymarket ↗
The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.
$66.5k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$66K Vol.
Lai Jui-lung
75% market probability
75%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 75%
+25 / −75
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 25%
+75 / −25
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Other
Explain your No on Other
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate A
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate A
Explain your No on Candidate A
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate B
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate B
Explain your No on Candidate B
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate C
Explain your No on Candidate C
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate D
Explain your No on Candidate D
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate E
Explain your No on Candidate E
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate F
Explain your No on Candidate F
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate G
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate G
Explain your No on Candidate G
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate H
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate H
Explain your No on Candidate H
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate I
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate I
Explain your No on Candidate I
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate J
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate J
Explain your No on Candidate J
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate K
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate K
Explain your No on Candidate K
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate L
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate L
Explain your No on Candidate L
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate M
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate M
Explain your No on Candidate M
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate N
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate N
Explain your No on Candidate N
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate O
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate O
Explain your No on Candidate O
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate P
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate P
Explain your No on Candidate P
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate Q
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate Q
Explain your No on Candidate Q
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate R
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate R
Explain your No on Candidate R
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate S
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate S
Explain your No on Candidate S
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate T
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate T
Explain your No on Candidate T
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate U
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate U
Explain your No on Candidate U
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate V
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate V
Explain your No on Candidate V
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate W
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate W
Explain your No on Candidate W
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate X
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate X
Explain your No on Candidate X
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate Y
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate Y
Explain your No on Candidate Y
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Candidate Z
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate Z
Explain your No on Candidate Z
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Ko Chih-en
25% market probability
25%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 25%
+75 / −25
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 75%
+25 / −75
Explain your Yes on Ko Chih-en
Explain your No on Ko Chih-en
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Hsu Chih-chieh
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Hsu Chih-chieh
Explain your No on Hsu Chih-chieh
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Chang Ching
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Chang Ching
Explain your No on Chang Ching
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Lin Tai-hua
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Lin Tai-hua
Explain your No on Lin Tai-hua
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Chiu Yi-ying
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Chiu Yi-ying
Explain your No on Chiu Yi-ying
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
Post forecast
Cancel
Public forecast history
All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.
No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.