Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$7.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party 82% Yes No
Republican Party 20% Yes No
$7.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

What will SpaceX's public ticker be?

Other (incl $SPCX) 100% Yes No
$SPAX 0% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$7.0M Vol.
Polymarket

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 30% Yes No
June 30, 2026 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$7.0M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$6.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

5 41% Yes No
4 35% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$6.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Trump out as President by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$6.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

No 82%
Yes 18%
$6.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.0% 34% Yes No
3.75% 32% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$6.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

IPOs before 2027?

Cerebras 100% Yes No
Wealthfront 100% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$6.5M Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?

December 31, 2026 83% Yes No
September 30, 2026 75% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$6.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Elon Musk # tweets June 2 - June 9, 2026?

220-239 100% Yes No
500+ 0% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$6.5M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?

↓ 2,000 100% Yes No
↓ 2,500 100% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$6.4M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner

Jannik Sinner 58% Yes No
Novak Djokovic 12% Yes No

+38 more outcomes

$6.3M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$100M 48% Yes No
$300M 44% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$6.2M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$6.1M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?

June 30 8% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$6.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Elon Musk musk # tweets in May 2026?

1080-1119 0% Yes No
1160-1199 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$6.0M Vol.
Polymarket

What will Gold (GC) hit__ by end of June?

↑ $5,000 100% Yes No
↓ $4,300 100% Yes No

+26 more outcomes

$6.0M Vol.
Polymarket

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

June 30 4% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$6.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

US military action against Cuba by...?

December 31 40% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$6.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Russia nuclear test by...?

September 30, 2026 31% Yes No
December 31, 2026 8% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$5.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

December 31 7% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$5.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Elon Musk # tweets May 29 - June 5, 2026?

180-199 100% Yes No
<20 0% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$5.9M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture