Open Sports Polymarket

MLB: Home Runs Leader

Top outcomes

Kyle Schwarber 44%
Yordan Alvarez 28%
Ben Rice 15%
Junior Caminero 15%

This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$3.1M Vol. Closes Oct 11, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$3.1m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$3.1M Vol.

Kyle Schwarber

44% market probability

44%

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0 / 2,000

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Yordan Alvarez

28% market probability

28%

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0 / 2,000

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Ben Rice

15% market probability

15%

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0 / 2,000

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Junior Caminero

15% market probability

15%

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0 / 2,000

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James Wood

8% market probability

8%

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0 / 2,000

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Shea Langeliers

7% market probability

7%

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0 / 2,000

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Elly De La Cruz

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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Nick Kurtz

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Matt Olson

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Munetaka Murakami

2% market probability

2%

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0 / 2,000

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Aaron Judge

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Shohei Ohtani

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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Brandon Lowe

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Juan Soto

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Mike Trout

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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CJ Abrams

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Cal Raleigh

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Pete Alonso

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Sal Stewart

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Rafael Devers

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Eugenio Suarez

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Jordan Walker

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Giancarlo Stanton

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Manny Machado

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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George Springer

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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