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MLB: Home Runs Leader
Top outcomes
Kyle Schwarber
44%
Yordan Alvarez
28%
Ben Rice
15%
Junior Caminero
15%
This market will resolve according to the player who records the most home runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$3.1M Vol.
Closes Oct 11, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$3.1m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$3.1M Vol.
Kyle Schwarber
44% market probability
44%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 44%
+56 / −44
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 55%
+45 / −55
Yordan Alvarez
28% market probability
28%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 28%
+72 / −28
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 72%
+28 / −72
Explain your Yes on Yordan Alvarez
Explain your No on Yordan Alvarez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ben Rice
15% market probability
15%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 15%
+85 / −15
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 85%
+15 / −85
Explain your Yes on Ben Rice
Explain your No on Ben Rice
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Junior Caminero
15% market probability
15%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 15%
+85 / −15
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 85%
+15 / −85
Explain your Yes on Junior Caminero
Explain your No on Junior Caminero
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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James Wood
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on James Wood
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Shea Langeliers
7% market probability
7%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 93%
+7 / −93
Explain your Yes on Shea Langeliers
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Elly De La Cruz
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Elly De La Cruz
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nick Kurtz
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Nick Kurtz
Explain your No on Nick Kurtz
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Matt Olson
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Matt Olson
Explain your No on Matt Olson
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Munetaka Murakami
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Munetaka Murakami
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Aaron Judge
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Aaron Judge
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Shohei Ohtani
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Shohei Ohtani
Explain your No on Shohei Ohtani
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Brandon Lowe
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Brandon Lowe
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Juan Soto
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Juan Soto
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mike Trout
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Mike Trout
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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CJ Abrams
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on CJ Abrams
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cal Raleigh
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Cal Raleigh
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pete Alonso
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Pete Alonso
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Sal Stewart
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Sal Stewart
Explain your No on Sal Stewart
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rafael Devers
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Rafael Devers
Explain your No on Rafael Devers
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Eugenio Suarez
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Eugenio Suarez
Explain your No on Eugenio Suarez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jordan Walker
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Jordan Walker
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Giancarlo Stanton
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Giancarlo Stanton
Explain your No on Giancarlo Stanton
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Manny Machado
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Manny Machado
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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George Springer
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on George Springer
Explain your No on George Springer
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Public forecast history
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