Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$350K Vol.
Polymarket

UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$345K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

No 85%
Yes 15%
$341K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Who will be UFC Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Tom Aspinall 56% Yes No
Ciryl Gane 26% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$339K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by...?

December 31 86% Yes No
October 31 75% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$337K Vol.
Polymarket

US reissues Iran oil sales sanction relief by...?

September 30 8% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$337K Vol.
Polymarket

Pro Football: Where will Dexter Lawrence play Week 1?

Cincinnati Bengals 99% Yes No
Detroit Lions 0% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$335K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Oura IPO Closing Market Cap

$20B+ 48% Yes No
$17.5B–$20B 23% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$334K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Bilytske by...?

December 31 82% Yes No
September 30 16% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$333K Vol.
Polymarket

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

↑ $7,400 100% Yes No
↑ $7,600 100% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$332K Vol.
Polymarket

How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

140-159 75% Yes No
160-179 13% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$332K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How much will Coinbase token sales raise in 2026?

>$200M 54% Yes No
>$400M 54% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$331K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1B 10% Yes No
$3B 8% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$330K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Extended launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 67% Yes No
September 30, 2026 4% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$328K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$328K Vol.
Polymarket

MLB: Next Phillies Manager

Alex Cora 31% Yes No
Bruce Bochy 24% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$328K Vol.
Polymarket

Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$325K Vol.
Polymarket

European military action against Iran by...?

December 31 11% Yes No
October 31 5% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$324K Vol.
Polymarket

United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?

325–339 37% Yes No
310–324 23% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$322K Vol.
Polymarket

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

No 58%
Yes 42%
$319K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Ostium launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 14% Yes No
December 31, 2025 0% Yes No
$319K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

What price will XRP hit in 2026?

↑ 2.40 100% Yes No
↓ 1.40 100% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$318K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

What price will Bitcoin hit on September 1?

↑ 79,000 100% Yes No
↓ 77,000 100% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$313K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

No 74%
Yes 26%
$313K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech