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Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
Top outcomes
Olivia Chow
71%
Brad Bradford
28%
John Tory
0%
Ana Bailão
0%
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
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$401K Vol.
Closes Oct 27, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$400.6k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$401K Vol.
Olivia Chow
71% market probability
71%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 71%
+29 / −71
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 29%
+71 / −29
Brad Bradford
28% market probability
28%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 28%
+72 / −28
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 72%
+28 / −72
Explain your Yes on Brad Bradford
Explain your No on Brad Bradford
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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John Tory
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on John Tory
Explain your No on John Tory
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ana Bailão
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ana Bailão
Explain your No on Ana Bailão
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kevin Clarke
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Kevin Clarke
Explain your No on Kevin Clarke
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Michael Ford
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Michael Ford
Explain your No on Michael Ford
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Anthony Furey
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Anthony Furey
Explain your No on Anthony Furey
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Marco Mendicino
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Marco Mendicino
Explain your No on Marco Mendicino
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Public forecast history
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