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Pop Culture
Polymarket
Oscars 2027: Best Picture Winner
Top outcomes
The Odyssey
56%
Other
50%
Film D
50%
Film E
50%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$130.8k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$131K Vol.
The Odyssey
56% market probability
56%
Yes 56%
+44 / −56
No 44%
+56 / −44
Other
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film D
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film E
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film F
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film G
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film H
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film I
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film J
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film K
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film L
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film M
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film N
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film O
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film P
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film Q
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film R
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film S
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film T
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film U
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film V
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film W
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film X
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film Y
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Film Z
50% market probability
50%
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
No 50%
+50 / −50
Dune: Part Three
16% market probability
16%
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
No 84%
+16 / −84
La Bola Negra
10% market probability
10%
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
No 90%
+10 / −90
Wild Horse Nine
7% market probability
7%
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
No 93%
+7 / −93
Fjord
6% market probability
6%
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
No 94%
+6 / −94
Digger
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Project Hail Mary
4% market probability
4%
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
No 96%
+4 / −96
Michael
2% market probability
2%
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
No 98%
+2 / −98
Tony
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
The Debut
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Josephine
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Disclosure Day
1% market probability
1%
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
No 99%
+1 / −99
Avengers: Doomsday
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Behemoth!
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Clarissa
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
The Drama
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Fatherland
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
All of a Sudden
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Saturn Return
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
The Social Reckoning
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
The Invite
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Public forecast history
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