Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Fed rate cut by...? F1 Constructors' Champion Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Iran leadership change by...? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? EPL: 2027 Champion Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Next Prime Minister of Romania? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Epstein client list released by...? Which party will win the House in 2026?
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Fed rate cut by...? F1 Constructors' Champion Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Iran leadership change by...? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? EPL: 2027 Champion Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Next Prime Minister of Romania? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Epstein client list released by...? Which party will win the House in 2026?
Open Polymarket

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

Top outcomes

↑ $7,400 100%
↑ $7,600 100%
↑ $7,800 100%
↓ $6,400 100%

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December 2026?

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$420K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$420.4k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$420K Vol.

↑ $7,400

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on ↑ $7,400 Explain your No on ↑ $7,400 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑ $7,600

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on ↑ $7,600 Explain your No on ↑ $7,600 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑ $7,800

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on ↑ $7,800 Explain your No on ↑ $7,800 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↓ $6,400

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $6,400 Explain your No on ↓ $6,400 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↓ $6,600

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $6,600 Explain your No on ↓ $6,600 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↓ $7,400

62% market probability

62%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $7,400 Explain your No on ↓ $7,400 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑ $8,000

40% market probability

40%

Explain your Yes on ↑ $8,000 Explain your No on ↑ $8,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑ $8,200

32% market probability

32%

Explain your Yes on ↑ $8,200 Explain your No on ↑ $8,200 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↓ $7,200

28% market probability

28%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $7,200 Explain your No on ↓ $7,200 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↓ $7,000

24% market probability

24%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $7,000 Explain your No on ↓ $7,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↓ $6,200

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $6,200 Explain your No on ↓ $6,200 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↓ $6,000

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $6,000 Explain your No on ↓ $6,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑ $8,600

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on ↑ $8,600 Explain your No on ↑ $8,600 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↓ $5,800

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $5,800 Explain your No on ↓ $5,800 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↓ $5,200

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $5,200 Explain your No on ↓ $5,200 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↓ $4,500

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $4,500 Explain your No on ↓ $4,500 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑ $9,000

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on ↑ $9,000 Explain your No on ↑ $9,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑ $9,300

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on ↑ $9,300 Explain your No on ↑ $9,300 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑ $10,000

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on ↑ $10,000 Explain your No on ↑ $10,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

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