Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Iran full airspace closure by...? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Trump out as President before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Next French Presidential Election Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Netanyahu out by...? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Will US withdraw from NATO by...? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Iran full airspace closure by...? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Trump out as President before 2027? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Next French Presidential Election Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Netanyahu out by...? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
Open Polymarket

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

Top outcomes

↑ $7,400 100%
↑ $7,600 100%
↑ $7,800 100%
↓ $6,400 100%

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December 2026?

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$331K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$330.9k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$331K Vol.

↑ $7,400

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on ↑ $7,400 Explain your No on ↑ $7,400 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑ $7,600

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on ↑ $7,600 Explain your No on ↑ $7,600 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑ $7,800

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on ↑ $7,800 Explain your No on ↑ $7,800 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↓ $6,400

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $6,400 Explain your No on ↓ $6,400 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↓ $6,600

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $6,600 Explain your No on ↓ $6,600 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↓ $7,200

70% market probability

70%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $7,200 Explain your No on ↓ $7,200 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↓ $7,400

64% market probability

64%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $7,400 Explain your No on ↓ $7,400 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↓ $7,000

61% market probability

61%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $7,000 Explain your No on ↓ $7,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑ $8,000

46% market probability

46%

Explain your Yes on ↑ $8,000 Explain your No on ↑ $8,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑ $8,200

36% market probability

36%

Explain your Yes on ↑ $8,200 Explain your No on ↑ $8,200 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↓ $6,000

14% market probability

14%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $6,000 Explain your No on ↓ $6,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↓ $6,200

14% market probability

14%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $6,200 Explain your No on ↓ $6,200 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑ $8,600

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on ↑ $8,600 Explain your No on ↑ $8,600 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↓ $5,800

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $5,800 Explain your No on ↓ $5,800 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↓ $5,200

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $5,200 Explain your No on ↓ $5,200 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑ $9,300

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on ↑ $9,300 Explain your No on ↑ $9,300 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑ $9,000

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on ↑ $9,000 Explain your No on ↑ $9,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↓ $4,500

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on ↓ $4,500 Explain your No on ↓ $4,500 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

↑ $10,000

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on ↑ $10,000 Explain your No on ↑ $10,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

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