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In which month will Anthropic IPO?
Top outcomes
October 2026
84%
September 2026
10%
November 2026
2%
December 2026
2%
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange.
An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing.
If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
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$128K Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2028
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$127.9k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$128K Vol.
October 2026
84% market probability
84%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 84%
+16 / −84
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 17%
+83 / −17
September 2026
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on September 2026
Explain your No on September 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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November 2026
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on November 2026
Explain your No on November 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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December 2026
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on December 2026
Explain your No on December 2026
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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No IPO before 2028
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on No IPO before 2028
Explain your No on No IPO before 2028
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0 / 2,000
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May 2027
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on May 2027
Explain your No on May 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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July 2027
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on July 2027
Explain your No on July 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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April 2027
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on April 2027
Explain your No on April 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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March 2027
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on March 2027
Explain your No on March 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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August 2027
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on August 2027
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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December 2027
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on December 2027
Explain your No on December 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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February 2027
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on February 2027
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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November 2027
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on November 2027
Explain your No on November 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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September 2027
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on September 2027
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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June 2027
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on June 2027
Explain your No on June 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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January 2027
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on January 2027
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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October 2027
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on October 2027
Explain your No on October 2027
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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