Open Polymarket

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

Top outcomes

$1.25T–$1.5T 22%
$1.5T–$1.75T 19%
$1.75T–$2.0T 18%
$1.0T–$1.25T 12%

This market will resolve according to the implied equity valuation of OpenAI at its initial public offering (IPO) price. The IPO valuation is defined as the final IPO price per share multiplied by the total number of shares outstanding on a fully diluted basis, as disclosed in the final prospectus filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. The IPO price will be the final offering price to the public as stated in the final prospectus. Trading prices after listing, including the opening trade, intraday prices, or closing price on the first day of trading, will not be considered. Indicated or preliminary price ranges, including any ranges disclosed in earlier filings or amendments, will not be considered. If the calculated valuation falls exactly on a boundary between two ranges, this market will resolve to the higher range. If OpenAI does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The primary resolution source will be the final prospectus filed with the SEC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$93K Vol. Closes Jul 1, 2027

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$93.4k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$93K Vol.

$1.25T–$1.5T

22% market probability

22%

Explain your Yes on $1.25T–$1.5T Explain your No on $1.25T–$1.5T (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$1.5T–$1.75T

19% market probability

19%

Explain your Yes on $1.5T–$1.75T Explain your No on $1.5T–$1.75T (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$1.75T–$2.0T

18% market probability

18%

Explain your Yes on $1.75T–$2.0T Explain your No on $1.75T–$2.0T (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$1.0T–$1.25T

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on $1.0T–$1.25T Explain your No on $1.0T–$1.25T (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$2.5T+

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on $2.5T+ Explain your No on $2.5T+ (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

<$1T

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on <$1T Explain your No on <$1T (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$2.0T–$2.25T

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on $2.0T–$2.25T Explain your No on $2.0T–$2.25T (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

$2.25T–$2.5T

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on $2.25T–$2.5T Explain your No on $2.25T–$2.5T (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.