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MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner
Top outcomes
Yordan Alvarez
33%
Nick Kurtz
14%
Bobby Witt Jr.
8%
José Ramírez
8%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$410K Vol.
Closes Nov 13, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$410.0k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$410K Vol.
Yordan Alvarez
33% market probability
33%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 33%
+67 / −33
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 67%
+33 / −67
Nick Kurtz
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on Nick Kurtz
Explain your No on Nick Kurtz
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bobby Witt Jr.
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Bobby Witt Jr.
Explain your No on Bobby Witt Jr.
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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José Ramírez
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on José Ramírez
Explain your No on José Ramírez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Julio Rodríguez
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Julio Rodríguez
Explain your No on Julio Rodríguez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Aaron Judge
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Aaron Judge
Explain your No on Aaron Judge
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Gunnar Henderson
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Gunnar Henderson
Explain your No on Gunnar Henderson
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Explain your No on Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cal Raleigh
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Cal Raleigh
Explain your No on Cal Raleigh
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Corey Seager
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Corey Seager
Explain your No on Corey Seager
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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