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MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner
Top outcomes
Yordan Alvarez
88%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3%
José Ramírez
3%
Julio Rodríguez
3%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$417K Vol.
Closes Nov 13, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$416.8k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$417K Vol.
Yordan Alvarez
88% market probability
88%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 88%
+12 / −88
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 12%
+88 / −12
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Explain your No on Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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José Ramírez
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on José Ramírez
Explain your No on José Ramírez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Julio Rodríguez
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Julio Rodríguez
Explain your No on Julio Rodríguez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Bobby Witt Jr.
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Bobby Witt Jr.
Explain your No on Bobby Witt Jr.
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Gunnar Henderson
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Gunnar Henderson
Explain your No on Gunnar Henderson
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cal Raleigh
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Cal Raleigh
Explain your No on Cal Raleigh
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nick Kurtz
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Nick Kurtz
Explain your No on Nick Kurtz
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Corey Seager
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Corey Seager
Explain your No on Corey Seager
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Aaron Judge
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Aaron Judge
Explain your No on Aaron Judge
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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