Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Fed Decision in July? Trump out as President before 2027? Starmer out by...? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Iran leadership change by...? Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? F1 Drivers' Champion Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Colombia Presidential Election World Cup Winner US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? F1 Constructors' Champion

Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Status

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24% Yes No

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9% Yes No

+43 more outcomes

$1191.7M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 34% Yes No

Marco Rubio 24% Yes No

+33 more outcomes

$654.9M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Marco Rubio 16% Yes No

JD Vance 15% Yes No

+34 more outcomes

$623.7M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

December 31 66% Yes No

October 31 57% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$278.8M Vol.

Polymarket World

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31 50% Yes No

June 30 2% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$122.0M Vol.

Polymarket World

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 42% Yes No

Flávio Bolsonaro 29% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$97.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 30% Yes No

Édouard Philippe 18% Yes No

+34 more outcomes

$95.7M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Forecasts closed

Keiko Fujimori 94% Yes No

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 5% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$93.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro 74% Yes No

Delcy Rodríguez 14% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$90.5M Vol.

Polymarket World

Iran closes its airspace by...?

+13 more outcomes

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Oh Se-hoon 100% Yes No

Cho Kuk 0% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$51.7M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31 14% Yes No

September 30 6% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$50.8M Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

+26 more outcomes

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

Colombia Presidential Election

Abelardo de la Espriella 86% Yes No

Candidate M 50% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$36.3M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 87% Yes No

Steve Hilton 8% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$35.9M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

+15 more outcomes

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Starmer out by...?

December 31 76% Yes No

October 31 64% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$31.3M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...?

+15 more outcomes

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 31 18% Yes No

June 30 2% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$25.9M Vol.

Polymarket World

What will happen before GTA VI?

Drake releases Iceman 100% Yes No

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire 100% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$22.6M Vol.

Polymarket Pop Culture

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 10% Yes No

Donald Trump 8% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$19.9M Vol.

Polymarket World