Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Trump out as President before 2027? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion F1 Constructors' Champion Iran full airspace closure by...? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? LALIGA: 2027 Champion Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Bitcoin all time high by ___?

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Trump out as President before 2027? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion F1 Constructors' Champion Iran full airspace closure by...? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? LALIGA: 2027 Champion Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Bitcoin all time high by ___?

AI

Forecasts in AI · Science & Tech

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When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

No release by November 1 34% Yes No

October 12–October 18 10% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

November 30 91% Yes No

October 31 66% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+ 80% Yes No

1490+ 68% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+ 88% Yes No

45%+ 84% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

GPT-6 released by…?

December 31, 2026 73% Yes No

November 30, 2026 68% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+ 88% Yes No

60%+ 63% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+ 72% Yes No

50%+ 55% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

16-19 48% Yes No

12-15 29% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

Next Claude Opus released by...?

December 31 99% Yes No

October 31 96% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic 72% Yes No

OpenAI 10% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

#10 100% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

1560 32% Yes No

1580 21% Yes No

+1 more outcome

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

1525 100% Yes No

1550 100% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 2026 30% Yes No

October 31, 2026 8% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

December 31, 2027 46% Yes No

June 30, 2027 30% Yes No

+5 more outcomes