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Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

Top outcomes

October 31 100%
December 31 100%
September 9 0%
September 10 0%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases a foldable iPhone by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. A qualifying release of a foldable smartphone by Apple will count even if it is not explicitly branded an iPhone. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$1.2M Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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$1.2m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$1.2M Vol.

October 31

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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December 31

100% market probability

100%

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0 / 2,000

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September 9

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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September 10

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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September 15

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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September 30

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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