Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Los Angeles Mayoral Election Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Fed Decision in December? California Governor Election Winner Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Largest Company end of December 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Iran leader end of 2026? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? F1 Constructors' Champion Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Fed Decision in October? Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Los Angeles Mayoral Election Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Fed Decision in December? California Governor Election Winner Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Largest Company end of December 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Iran leader end of 2026? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? F1 Constructors' Champion Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Fed Decision in October? Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Source All Polymarket
Ending soon Next 24h Next 48h Next 72h Next week
All categories Crypto Economy Politics Esports Sports FIFA World Cup 2026 Pop Culture Science & Tech World Other

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

↑1k 100% Yes No
↑2k 100% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$8.1M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google 75% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic 48% Yes No
Google 40% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 31 29% Yes No
November 30 25% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

14–16 46% Yes No
17–19 18% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

December 31, 2027 64% Yes No
June 30, 2027 54% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket

New pandemic in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?

December 31 100% Yes No
October 31 99% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

1 52% Yes No
0 32% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 2027 50% Yes No
December 31, 2026 14% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$919K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$833K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$595K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 31 97% Yes No
October 31 83% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$581K Vol.
Polymarket

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

<5 60% Yes No
5-6 36% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$525K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Plague pandemic in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$493K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 2026 26% Yes No
October 31, 2026 5% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$485K Vol.
Polymarket

AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by...?

December 31, 2027 64% Yes No
December 31, 2026 24% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$460K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?

0 77% Yes No
1 18% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$365K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$351K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$333K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$331K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Other 50% Yes No
Company A 50% Yes No

+33 more outcomes

$318K Vol.
Polymarket

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$315K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 31 92% Yes No
October 31 32% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$313K Vol.
Polymarket