Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Which party will win the House in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Russia nuclear test by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? California Governor Election Winner New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year
Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Which party will win the House in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Russia nuclear test by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? California Governor Election Winner New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year
Open Polymarket

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Top outcomes

1560 32%
1580 20%
1600 13%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

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$192K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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$192.4k Vol.

All outcomes

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$192K Vol.

1560

32% market probability

32%

Explain your Yes on 1560 Explain your No on 1560 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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1580

20% market probability

20%

Explain your Yes on 1580 Explain your No on 1580 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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1600

13% market probability

13%

Explain your Yes on 1600 Explain your No on 1600 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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