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Open Polymarket

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

Top outcomes

1525 100%
1550 82%
1575 40%
1600 23%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Math" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

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$75K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$74.5k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$75K Vol.

1525

100% market probability

100%

Explain your Yes on 1525 Explain your No on 1525 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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1550

82% market probability

82%

Explain your Yes on 1550 Explain your No on 1550 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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1575

40% market probability

40%

Explain your Yes on 1575 Explain your No on 1575 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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1600

23% market probability

23%

Explain your Yes on 1600 Explain your No on 1600 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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