Science & Tech

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

No 84%

Yes 16%

$30.4M Vol.

Polymarket December 31

Which company has the best AI model end of May?

Anthropic 99% Yes No

OpenAI 1% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$11.5M Vol.

Polymarket

Which company has best AI model end of June?

Anthropic 86% Yes No

Google 10% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$8.1M Vol.

Polymarket

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

↑2k 99% Yes No

↑3k 80% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$7.7M Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$7.7M Vol.

Polymarket May 31

Claude 5 released by…?

September 30, 2026 70% Yes No

June 30, 2026 22% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$3.9M Vol.

Polymarket

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes)

1T+ 98% Yes No

No IPO before 2028 1% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$3.7M Vol.

Polymarket

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

>$1T 98% Yes No

>$1.2T 98% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$3.5M Vol.

Polymarket

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

No 97%

Yes 3%

$2.6M Vol.

Polymarket June 30

Will xAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 74%

Yes 26%

$2.1M Vol.

Polymarket xAI

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

14–16 33% Yes No

11–13 31% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

0 64% Yes No

1 23% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

No 90%

Yes 10%

$895K Vol.

Polymarket September 30

New pandemic in 2026?

No 90%

Yes 10%

$664K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

No 95%

Yes 5%

$612K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

No 78%

Yes 22%

$567K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

<5 58% Yes No

5-6 20% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$457K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

Claude Mythos released by…?

July 31 42% Yes No

June 30 38% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$432K Vol.

Polymarket

Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?

Google 86% Yes No

Anthropic 10% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$425K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Kraken have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$394K Vol.

Polymarket Kraken

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 90%

Yes 10%

$377K Vol.

Polymarket Anthropic

Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 95%

Yes 5%

$353K Vol.

Polymarket OpenAI

Named storm forms before hurricane season?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$346K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

No 69%

Yes 31%

$330K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

No 66%

Yes 34%

$302K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 14%

Yes 86%

$249K Vol.

Polymarket SpaceX

Claude 4.8 released by...?

July 31 97% Yes No

June 30 96% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$243K Vol.

Polymarket

Natural Disaster in 2026?

No 74%

Yes 26%

$221K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

2026 May 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2nd hottest 92% Yes No

3rd hottest 5% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$217K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

GPT-5.6 released by...?

July 31 82% Yes No

June 30 80% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$214K Vol.

Polymarket

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

No 93%

Yes 7%

$193K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

No 88%

Yes 12%

$156K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.10–1.14ºC 78% Yes No

<1.10ºC 14% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$147K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

No 14%

Yes 86%

$139K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

No 90%

Yes 10%

$136K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?

2000 39% Yes No

2200 5% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$129K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

Will May 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$122K Vol.

Polymarket 4th or lower

Will ByteDance have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$121K Vol.

Polymarket ByteDance

Will Databricks have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$115K Vol.

Polymarket Databricks

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

No 97%

Yes 3%

$108K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

Will SHEIN have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$98K Vol.

Polymarket SHEIN

Will Discord have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$96K Vol.

Polymarket Discord

Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

No 88%

Yes 12%

$93K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

Will Perplexity AI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$86K Vol.

Polymarket Perplexity AI

Will Revolut have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$82K Vol.

Polymarket Revolut

Will Waymo have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$78K Vol.

Polymarket Waymo

Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 100%

Yes 0%

$76K Vol.

Polymarket Stripe

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

1250+ 52% Yes No

<950 23% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$73K Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech