Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑1k
100%
Yes
No
↑2k
100%
Yes
No
+8 more outcomes
$7.9M Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
GPT-6 released by…?
December 31, 2026
73%
Yes
No
November 30, 2026
69%
Yes
No
+11 more outcomes
$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
14–16
45%
Yes
No
17–19
38%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?
October 31
69%
Yes
No
September 30
25%
Yes
No
+19 more outcomes
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
0
51%
Yes
No
1
36%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31, 2027
46%
Yes
No
June 30, 2027
30%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket
New pandemic in 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?
October 31
96%
Yes
No
September 30
92%
Yes
No
+8 more outcomes
$961K Vol.
Polymarket
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic
72%
Yes
No
OpenAI
10%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$864K Vol.
Polymarket
Which company has the best AI model end of September?
Anthropic
94%
Yes
No
Other
50%
Yes
No
+30 more outcomes
$835K Vol.
Polymarket
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$813K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
FDA approves Retatrutide this year?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$580K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<5
55%
Yes
No
5-6
44%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$507K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
OpenAI’s Astra released by…?
October 31
92%
Yes
No
September 30
84%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$436K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
No
5%
Yes
95%
$414K Vol.
Polymarket
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026
30%
Yes
No
October 31, 2026
8%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$357K Vol.
Polymarket
Gemini 4.0 released by...?
November 30
88%
Yes
No
October 31
66%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$351K Vol.
Polymarket
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No
86%
Yes
14%
$341K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
No
74%
Yes
26%
$313K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No
93%
Yes
7%
$312K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No
77%
Yes
23%
$243K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
#5
100%
Yes
No
#10
100%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$213K Vol.
Polymarket
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
No
87%
Yes
13%
$202K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
1560
32%
Yes
No
1580
20%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$192K Vol.
Polymarket
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