Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$225K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No
76%
Yes
24%
$223K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
What will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be?
Forecasts closed
1.75-2.00T
94%
Yes
No
1.50-1.75T
3%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$208K Vol.
Polymarket
May 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
Forecasts closed
1.10–1.14ºC
98%
Yes
No
<1.10ºC
2%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$194K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Measles cases in U.S. by May 31?
2000
0%
Yes
No
2200
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$194K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Which company has the best Math AI model end of June?
Anthropic
42%
Yes
No
Google
40%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$191K Vol.
Polymarket
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
No
88%
Yes
12%
$164K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Claude Mythos released on…?
On or prior to June 9
100%
Yes
No
June 21
0%
Yes
No
+21 more outcomes
$142K Vol.
Polymarket
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
No
18%
Yes
82%
$141K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No
88%
Yes
12%
$136K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
When will GPT-5.6 be released?
June 15–June 21
48%
Yes
No
June 22–June 28
30%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$115K Vol.
Polymarket
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$109K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes June 1 - June 7?
>9
100%
Yes
No
6
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$105K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Precipitation in Hong Kong in May?
$102K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?
No release by June 30
20%
Yes
No
June 23
18%
Yes
No
+28 more outcomes
$97K Vol.
Polymarket
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
Forecasts closed
No
90%
Yes
10%
$95K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Claude Opus 4.8: Arena Debut?
<1480
100%
Yes
No
1480-1490
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$93K Vol.
Polymarket
Claude Mythos: Coding Arena Debut?
1520+
70%
Yes
No
1530+
64%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$92K Vol.
Polymarket
Which company has the third best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
80%
Yes
No
Google
12%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$86K Vol.
Polymarket
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
1250+
73%
Yes
No
1200–1249
7%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$73K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?
No
76%
Yes
24%
$72K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Which company has best AI model end of July?
Anthropic
86%
Yes
No
Google
6%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$61K Vol.
Polymarket
What will Apple announce at Apple WWDC 2026?
AI-Charged Siri
100%
Yes
No
Standalone Siri App
100%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$59K Vol.
Polymarket
How many 5.5 or above earthquakes May 25 - May 31?
$51K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Showing 25–48 of 85