Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Which party will win the House in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Russia nuclear test by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? California Governor Election Winner New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year

Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Which party will win the House in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Russia nuclear test by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? California Governor Election Winner New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year

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Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Alibaba 74% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

1510 100% Yes No

1520 13% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Polymarket Science & Tech

Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?

Anthropic 86% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Polymarket Science & Tech

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

1525 100% Yes No

1550 100% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

1250+ 89% Yes No

1200–1249 5% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

Polymarket Science & Tech

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Moonshot 52% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+ 88% Yes No

60%+ 63% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

December 31, 2027 68% Yes No

September 30, 2027 44% Yes No

+1 more outcome

Polymarket Science & Tech

#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

Other 50% Yes No

Company A 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

SSI public model released by…?

October 31 49% Yes No

September 30 38% Yes No

+1 more outcome

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Anthropic 86% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+ 72% Yes No

50%+ 55% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

16-19 48% Yes No

12-15 29% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

Next Claude Opus released by...?

December 31 99% Yes No

October 31 96% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

Anthropic 66% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)

Anthropic 88% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

Third-best AI Lab end of September?

Other 50% Yes No

Company A 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by September 30 82% Yes No

September 30 5% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+ 88% Yes No

45%+ 84% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

June 30, 2027? 88% Yes No

March 31, 2027 44% Yes No

Polymarket Science & Tech

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

Anthropic 56% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

Moonshot 75% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes