Trump out as President before 2027? Which party will win the Senate in 2026? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? US military action against Cuba by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Iran full airspace closure by...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Highest grossing movie in 2026? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Trump out as President before 2027? Which party will win the Senate in 2026? What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? US military action against Cuba by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Iran full airspace closure by...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Highest grossing movie in 2026? Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Source All Polymarket
Ending soon Next 24h Next 48h Next 72h Next week
All categories Crypto Economy Politics Esports Sports FIFA World Cup 2026 Pop Culture Science & Tech World Other

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

Moonshot 75% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$40K Vol.
Polymarket

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$39K Vol.
Polymarket

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

No release by November 1 34% Yes No
October 12–October 18 10% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$38K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by...?

October 31 99% Yes No
September 30 96% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$37K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?

OpenAI 82% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+25 more outcomes

$35K Vol.
Polymarket

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?

Other 50% Yes No
Company A 50% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$34K Vol.
Polymarket

Best AI model on September 7?

claude-opus-5-max 50% Yes No
Other 44% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$27K Vol.
Polymarket

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$23K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

No 87%
Yes 13%
$17K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+ 80% Yes No
1490+ 68% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Other 50% Yes No
Company A 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$14K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released on...?

September 2 80% Yes No
September 3 12% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$12K Vol.
Polymarket

How many Tornadoes in the US in August 2026?

80-99 88% Yes No
100–119 9% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$10K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$9K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

20 to 34 48% Yes No
Fewer than 20 34% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$7K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?

2900+ 100% Yes No
3000+ 98% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$4K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Precipitation in Hong Kong in September?

<275mm 44% Yes No
275-300mm 16% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$3K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?

7.9 or below 74% Yes No
8.0 – 8.1 12% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$3K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

December 31 50% Yes No
October 31 48% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Precipitation in Seattle in September?

<1" 27% Yes No
1-1.5" 20% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Precipitation in NYC in September?

>6" 28% Yes No
3-4" 22% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$903 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Precipitation in London in September?

50-60mm 30% Yes No
60-70mm 26% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$841 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$660 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

September 2026 1st, 2nd, or 3rd hottest on record?

2nd hottest 67% Yes No
1st hottest 32% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$525 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech