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Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

June 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.10–1.14ºC 36% Yes No
1.15–1.19ºC 35% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$3K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Precipitation in Seattle in June?

1-1.5" 36% Yes No
1.5-2" 26% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$2K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Precipitation in Hong Kong in June?

400-425mm 26% Yes No
475-500mm 26% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$2K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many Tornadoes in the US in June?

190–219 46% Yes No
100–129 44% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$2K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How far ahead of Google’s quantum benchmark will ECDSA.fail get by June 30?

40%+ 94% Yes No
50%+ 62% Yes No
$2K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Precipitation in London in June?

50-60mm 28% Yes No
60-70mm 28% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Precipitation in NYC in June?

<2" 36% Yes No
3-4" 28% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$659 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Precipitation in Seoul in June?

120-130mm 35% Yes No
<100mm 25% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$611 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$434 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many Tornadoes in the US in July?

100–129 38% Yes No
310+ 34% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$422 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

1.10–1.14ºC 44% Yes No
1.15–1.19ºC 42% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$303 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

FDA approves Daraxonrasib this year?

No 30%
Yes 70%
$66 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by...

Forecasts closed
June 30 50% Yes No
August 30 50% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

Polymarket Science & Tech