Open
Science & Tech
Polymarket
How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?
Top outcomes
<14
88%
16
14%
15
14%
14
13%
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
In the case of missing or erroneous data from spacex.com, this market will remain open until November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, to allow for updates. If spacex.com has not updated by November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.
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$1K Vol.
Closes Nov 1, 2026
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$1.4k Vol.
All outcomes
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$1K Vol.
<14
88% market probability
88%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 88%
+12 / −88
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 12%
+88 / −12
16
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on 16
Explain your No on 16
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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15
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on 15
Explain your No on 15
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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14
13% market probability
13%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 13%
+87 / −13
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 87%
+13 / −87
Explain your Yes on 14
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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17+
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 17+
Explain your No on 17+
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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