Open Science & Tech Polymarket

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI retracts its Navier-Stokes solution between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution refers to the Navier-Stokes solution that OpenAI announced on September 8, 2026 (https://openai.com/index/navier-stokes-solution/). A qualifying retraction occurs when OpenAI officially and publicly states that the published proof was incorrect or does not solve the Navier-Stokes problem. Statements by any other party will not qualify. Revisions that do not retract the correctness of the initial proof as a solution to the Navier-Stokes problem will not qualify. Statements about the authorship, credit, or attribution of the result, or about whether it qualifies for the Millennium Prize, will not on their own qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$88 Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

Live odds

No 93%
Yes 7%

Live Polymarket Chart

Open on Polymarket ↗

Place a forecast

OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?

77 days left

Pick your outcome below. Live Polymarket odds are captured when you submit. Share the argument behind your pick, then post your forecast.

Market closes Jan 1, 2027

Your forecast

Reputation at stake based on current Polymarket odds.

Your pick

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.