Open Science & Tech Polymarket

Plague declared public health emergency by...?

Top outcomes

December 31 5%
November 30 2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization officially declares a Public Health Emergency of International Concern covering plague, Yersinia pestis, pneumonic plague, or any plague outbreak between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only a determination that constitutes a Public Health Emergency of International Concern under the International Health Regulations will qualify. Other designations will not be considered, including the convening of an Emergency Committee, a Disease Outbreak News publication, a grade assigned under the WHO Emergency Response Framework, and a characterization of the outbreak as a pandemic. A Public Health Emergency of International Concern already in effect at market creation does not qualify; the declaration must occur between market creation and the specified date. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the WHO; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$20K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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$19.7k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$20K Vol.

December 31

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on December 31 Explain your No on December 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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November 30

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on November 30 Explain your No on November 30 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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