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How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

Top outcomes

16-19 48%
12-15 29%
20-23 8%
24-27 1%

This market will resolve according to the number of distinct cities in which Waymo’s ride-hailing service is publicly available, either through the Waymo One app or a partner platform such as Uber, as of December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. A city counts if riders can book a Waymo vehicle through either the Waymo One app or the Uber app at that time. Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. If Waymo describes a broader region (e.g., “Los Angeles County” or “San Francisco Bay Area”) as a single service area, it will count as one city/region for this market. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo (see: https://waymo.com/rides/c), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$64K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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$63.5k Vol.

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$64K Vol.

16-19

48% market probability

48%

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0 / 2,000

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12-15

29% market probability

29%

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20-23

8% market probability

8%

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24-27

1% market probability

1%

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32+

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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<12

1% market probability

1%

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0 / 2,000

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28-31

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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