Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Brazil Presidential Election Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Iran leadership change by...? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms NBA: 2027 Champion US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Brazil Presidential Election Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Iran leadership change by...? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms NBA: 2027 Champion US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Science & Tech

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Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

October 31 96% Yes No
September 30 92% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$961K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by...?

October 31 99% Yes No
September 30 95% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$32K Vol.
Polymarket

OpenAI’s Astra released by…?

October 31 92% Yes No
September 30 84% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$436K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

October 31 69% Yes No
September 30 25% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket

SSI public model released by…?

October 31 49% Yes No
September 30 38% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$73K Vol.
Polymarket

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Other 50% Yes No
Company A 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$14K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Anthropic 86% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$71K Vol.
Polymarket

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

No release by November 1 33% Yes No
October 12–October 18 10% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$38K Vol.
Polymarket

Gemini 4.0 released by...?

November 30 88% Yes No
October 31 66% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$351K Vol.
Polymarket

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$580K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+): Text Arena Debut?

1480+ 79% Yes No
1490+ 64% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$13K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+ 88% Yes No
45%+ 84% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$45K Vol.
Polymarket

100kt meteor strike in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$9K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$813K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$117K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

No 74%
Yes 26%
$313K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$312K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

GPT-6 released by…?

December 31, 2026 73% Yes No
November 30, 2026 69% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+ 88% Yes No
60%+ 63% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$79K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+ 72% Yes No
50%+ 55% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$68K Vol.
Polymarket

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

14–16 44% Yes No
17–19 37% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

16-19 48% Yes No
12-15 44% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$64K Vol.
Polymarket

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

0 51% Yes No
1 37% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

<5 54% Yes No
5-6 45% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$507K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech