Science & Tech
AI, space, breakthroughs, and innovation
42 open forecasts
Events in Science & Tech
Sorted by date
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
14–16
36%
Yes
No
11–13
24%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
0
64%
Yes
No
1
24%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
5-6
52%
Yes
No
<5
32%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$485K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
No
91%
Yes
9%
$14K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
No
90%
Yes
10%
$176K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑1k
100%
Yes
No
↑2k
100%
Yes
No
+8 more outcomes
$7.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No
82%
Yes
18%
$226K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$17K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
New pandemic in 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$892K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?
December 31
24%
Yes
No
September 30
10%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$827K Vol.
Polymarket
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$462 Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic
64%
Yes
No
Google
16%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$262K Vol.
Polymarket
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
1560
34%
Yes
No
1580
30%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$122K Vol.
Polymarket
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No
78%
Yes
22%
$334K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No
85%
Yes
15%
$138K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
October 31
58%
Yes
No
August 30
52%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$1K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
1250+
84%
Yes
No
1200–1249
6%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$76K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?
No
8%
Yes
92%
$145K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Showing 25–42 of 42