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42 open forecasts

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How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

14–16 36% Yes No
11–13 24% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?

0 64% Yes No
1 24% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

5-6 52% Yes No
<5 32% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$485K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

No 91%
Yes 9%
$14K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$176K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

↑1k 100% Yes No
↑2k 100% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$7.8M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Natural Disaster in 2026?

No 82%
Yes 18%
$226K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$17K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

New pandemic in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$892K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

December 31 24% Yes No
September 30 10% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$827K Vol.
Polymarket

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$462 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic 64% Yes No
Google 16% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$262K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

1560 34% Yes No
1580 30% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$122K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

No 78%
Yes 22%
$334K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

No 85%
Yes 15%
$138K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 31 58% Yes No
August 30 52% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

1250+ 84% Yes No
1200–1249 6% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$76K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will any month of 2026 be the hottest on record?

No 8%
Yes 92%
$145K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech