Science & Tech
AI, space, breakthroughs, and innovation
85 open forecasts
Events in Science & Tech
Sorted by date
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
No
80%
Yes
20%
$78K Vol.
Polymarket
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$670 Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Which math problems will AI solve in 2026?
Hodge Conjecture
23%
Yes
No
Ramsey Number R(5,5)
18%
Yes
No
+12 more outcomes
$61K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Who will launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?
Microsoft
32%
Yes
No
Anthropic
28%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$45K Vol.
Polymarket
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
#5
100%
Yes
No
#10
100%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$278K Vol.
Polymarket
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
1560
46%
Yes
No
1580
19%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$238K Vol.
Polymarket
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
1525
100%
Yes
No
1550
100%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$142K Vol.
Polymarket
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
↑ 1500
100%
Yes
No
↑ 1510
100%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$224K Vol.
Polymarket
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$351K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$143K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by...?
December 31
100%
Yes
No
October 31
99%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026
26%
Yes
No
October 31, 2026
5%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$485K Vol.
Polymarket
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?
No
90%
Yes
10%
$83K Vol.
Polymarket
Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?
4,189.3 or 4,189.4 ft
84%
Yes
No
Below 4,189.3 ft
16%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$36K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
7.9 or below
71%
Yes
No
8.2 – 8.3
12%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$28K Vol.
Polymarket
How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
14–16
46%
Yes
No
17–19
18%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$21K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
1250+
92%
Yes
No
1200–1249
4%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$86K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$833K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$333K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
100kt meteor strike in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$9K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$117K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
No
84%
Yes
16%
$315K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
No
93%
Yes
7%
$209K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Showing 49–72 of 85