Science & Tech

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72 open forecasts

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Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

No 87%
Yes 13%
$17K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

No 87%
Yes 13%
$202K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

↑1k 100% Yes No
↑2k 100% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$7.9M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Natural Disaster in 2026?

No 77%
Yes 23%
$243K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$23K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

New pandemic in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Next Claude Opus released by...?

December 31 99% Yes No
October 31 96% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$61K Vol.
Polymarket

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

October 31 46% Yes No
December 31 44% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$39K Vol.
Polymarket

Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$660 Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic 72% Yes No
OpenAI 10% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$864K Vol.
Polymarket

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

#5 100% Yes No
#10 100% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$213K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

1560 32% Yes No
1580 21% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$192K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

1525 100% Yes No
1550 100% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$116K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$341K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$140K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

No 5%
Yes 95%
$414K Vol.
Polymarket

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 2026 30% Yes No
October 31, 2026 8% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$357K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?

7.9 or below 74% Yes No
8.0 – 8.1 12% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$3K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?

1250+ 89% Yes No
1200–1249 5% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$82K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

20 to 34 48% Yes No
Fewer than 20 34% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$7K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by...?

June 30, 2027? 88% Yes No
March 31, 2027 44% Yes No
$44K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

December 31, 2027 68% Yes No
September 30, 2027 44% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$75K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

December 31, 2027 46% Yes No
June 30, 2027 30% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket