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Forecasts in AI · Science & Tech

50 open forecasts of 85 in Science & Tech

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Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi 62% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$225K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 31 90% Yes No
October 20 2% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$118K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 31 94% Yes No
October 19 2% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$55K Vol.
Polymarket

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic 68% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$67K Vol.
Polymarket

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Other 50% Yes No
Company A 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$39K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Google 52% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$76K Vol.
Polymarket

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Meta 58% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$75K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

October 20 36% Yes No
No release by October 31 16% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$134K Vol.
Polymarket

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic 52% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$77K Vol.
Polymarket

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Meta 92% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$65K Vol.
Polymarket

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Google 58% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$70K Vol.
Polymarket

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Microsoft 12% Yes No
Google 10% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$102K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Google 77% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$78K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google 76% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

No release by November 1 90% Yes No
October 26–November 1 3% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$295K Vol.
Polymarket

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

November 30 33% Yes No
October 31 15% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$45K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Other 50% Yes No
Company A 50% Yes No

+33 more outcomes

$311K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic 48% Yes No
Google 40% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 31 92% Yes No
October 31 32% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$313K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 31 97% Yes No
October 31 83% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$581K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+ 100% Yes No
60%+ 36% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$170K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

50%+ 100% Yes No
55%+ 100% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$138K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+ 51% Yes No
50%+ 40% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$162K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

50%+ 100% Yes No
55%+ 76% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$143K Vol.
Polymarket