Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Which party will win the House in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Russia nuclear test by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? California Governor Election Winner New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year
Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Which party will win the House in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Russia nuclear test by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? California Governor Election Winner New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year

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Forecasts in AI · Science & Tech

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Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

40%+ 88% Yes No
45%+ 84% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$46K Vol.
Polymarket

GPT-6 released by…?

December 31, 2026 73% Yes No
November 30, 2026 68% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+ 88% Yes No
60%+ 63% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$79K Vol.
Polymarket

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+ 72% Yes No
50%+ 55% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$68K Vol.
Polymarket

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

16-19 48% Yes No
12-15 29% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$64K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Claude Opus released by...?

December 31 99% Yes No
October 31 96% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$61K Vol.
Polymarket

US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$39K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic 72% Yes No
OpenAI 10% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$864K Vol.
Polymarket

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

#5 100% Yes No
#10 100% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$213K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

1560 32% Yes No
1580 21% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$192K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

1525 100% Yes No
1550 100% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$116K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?

No 5%
Yes 95%
$414K Vol.
Polymarket

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 2026 30% Yes No
October 31, 2026 8% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$357K Vol.
Polymarket

Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by...?

December 31, 2027 46% Yes No
June 30, 2027 30% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket