AI

Forecasts in AI · Science & Tech

41 open forecasts of 75 in Science & Tech

Events in AI

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Best AI model on September 7?

claude-opus-5-max 50% Yes No
Other 44% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$27K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released on...?

September 2 80% Yes No
September 3 12% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$12K Vol.
Polymarket

#3 AI Lab end of September? (Style Control On)

Other 50% Yes No
Company A 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$73K Vol.
Polymarket

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Alibaba 75% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$184K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by September 30 82% Yes No
September 30 5% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

$47K Vol.
Polymarket

Second-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

OpenAI 84% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$44K Vol.
Polymarket

Second-Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Moonshot 52% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$81K Vol.
Polymarket

Third-best AI Agent Lab end of September?

Moonshot 75% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$40K Vol.
Polymarket

Third-best AI Lab end of September?

Other 50% Yes No
Company A 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$48K Vol.
Polymarket

Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?

Other 50% Yes No
Company A 50% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$34K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)

Anthropic 88% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$48K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?

Anthropic 90% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$118K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best AI model end of September?

Anthropic 94% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$837K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of September?

Anthropic 56% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$43K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best Code Arena WebDev AI model end of September?

Anthropic 66% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$59K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best Text-to-Image AI end of September?

OpenAI 82% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+25 more outcomes

$35K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

1510 100% Yes No
1520 13% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$154K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Mythos-Class Model released by…?

October 31 98% Yes No
September 30 94% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket

Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by...?

October 31 99% Yes No
September 30 96% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$37K Vol.
Polymarket

OpenAI’s Astra released by…?

October 31 92% Yes No
September 30 84% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$439K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

October 31 69% Yes No
September 30 16% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket

SSI public model released by…?

October 31 49% Yes No
September 30 38% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$73K Vol.
Polymarket

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Other 50% Yes No
Company A 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$14K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Anthropic 86% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$71K Vol.
Polymarket