Science & Tech

AI, space, breakthroughs, and innovation

85 open forecasts

Events in Science & Tech

Sorted by date

Advanced filters →

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi 62% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$225K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 31 90% Yes No
October 20 2% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$118K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Muse Spark Model (1.4+) released on...?

No release by October 31 94% Yes No
October 19 2% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$55K Vol.
Polymarket

Second-best AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic 68% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$67K Vol.
Polymarket

Third-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Other 50% Yes No
Company A 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$39K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?

Google 52% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$76K Vol.
Polymarket

#3 AI Lab end of October? (Style Control On)

Meta 57% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$75K Vol.
Polymarket

Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?

October 31, 2026 2% Yes No
October 15, 2026 0% Yes No
$95K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?

<14 85% Yes No
14 12% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Measles cases in U.S. by October 31?

3700+ 100% Yes No
3800+ 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$28K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on...?

October 20 36% Yes No
No release by October 31 16% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$134K Vol.
Polymarket

Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?

Anthropic 52% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$77K Vol.
Polymarket

Third-best AI Lab end of October?

Meta 92% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$65K Vol.
Polymarket

Third-best Code Arena WebDev AI Lab end of October?

Google 58% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$70K Vol.
Polymarket

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Microsoft 12% Yes No
Google 10% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$102K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)

Google 77% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$78K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

Google 75% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

No release by November 1 90% Yes No
October 26–November 1 3% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$295K Vol.
Polymarket

How many Chinook will pass Bonneville Dam by October 31?

More than 550,000 99% Yes No
More than 575,000 98% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$12K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by...?

November 30 33% Yes No
October 31 15% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$45K Vol.
Polymarket

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Other 50% Yes No
Company A 50% Yes No

+33 more outcomes

$318K Vol.
Polymarket

Lowest Mississippi level at Baton Rouge by November 30?

6.00 ft or more 59% Yes No
5.00 to 5.99 ft 18% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$24K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?

-3.00 to -1.01 ft 27% Yes No
-1.00 to 0.99 ft 26% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$41K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic 48% Yes No
Google 40% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket