Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?
No
88%
Yes
12%
$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
99%
Yes
No
Sweden Democrats (SD)
1%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will any country leave NATO by...?
December 31, 2026
2%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?
Pam Bondi
100%
Yes
No
Dan Bongino
100%
Yes
No
+19 more outcomes
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Greece x Turkey military engagement by...?
December 31
5%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Iran Nuke before 2027?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Who will close Warner Bros. acquisition?
Paramount
77%
Yes
No
None by June 30, 2027
22%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Alaska Governor Election Winner
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
54%
Yes
No
Bernadette Wilson
36%
Yes
No
+20 more outcomes
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Maine Senate Election Winner
Troy Jackson (D)
70%
Yes
No
Susan Collins (R)
30%
Yes
No
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by...?
December 31
2%
Yes
No
September 30
2%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?
December 31
11%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
No
99%
Yes
1%
$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket
World
French election called by...?
December 31, 2026
5%
Yes
No
October 10
0%
Yes
No
+7 more outcomes
$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket
Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?
Gavin Newsom
12%
Yes
No
Rahm Emanuel
10%
Yes
No
+69 more outcomes
$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket
Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?
December 31
28%
Yes
No
September 30
4%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
No
98%
Yes
2%
$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket
India strike on Pakistan by...?
December 31, 2026
16%
Yes
No
October 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$991K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Texas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D)
50%
Yes
No
Ken Paxton (R)
48%
Yes
No
$979K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Xi Jinping
100%
Yes
No
Javier Milei
100%
Yes
No
+24 more outcomes
$975K Vol.
Polymarket
World
US charges Hormuz fees by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
July 17
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$973K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?
December 31
3%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$955K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?
December 31, 2026
8%
Yes
No
December 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$942K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Showing 73–96