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Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Top outcomes
Xi Jinping
100%
Javier Milei
100%
Keir Starmer
100%
Lula da Silva
100%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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$1.3M Vol.
Closes Jan 2, 2027
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$1.3m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$1.3M Vol.
Xi Jinping
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Javier Milei
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Javier Milei
Explain your No on Javier Milei
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Keir Starmer
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Keir Starmer
Explain your No on Keir Starmer
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lula da Silva
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Lula da Silva
Explain your No on Lula da Silva
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Friedrich Merz
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Friedrich Merz
Explain your No on Friedrich Merz
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Giorgia Meloni
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Giorgia Meloni
Explain your No on Giorgia Meloni
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ahmed al-Sharaa
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Ahmed al-Sharaa
Explain your No on Ahmed al-Sharaa
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Delcy Rodríguez
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Delcy Rodríguez
Explain your No on Delcy Rodríguez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Volodymyr Zelenskyy
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Explain your No on Volodymyr Zelenskyy
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Abdel Fattah El-Sisi
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Abdel Fattah El-Sisi
Explain your No on Abdel Fattah El-Sisi
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Maria Corina Machado
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Maria Corina Machado
Explain your No on Maria Corina Machado
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mohammed bin Salman
80% market probability
80%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 80%
+20 / −80
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 20%
+80 / −20
Explain your Yes on Mohammed bin Salman
Explain your No on Mohammed bin Salman
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Vladimir Putin
76% market probability
76%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 76%
+24 / −76
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 24%
+76 / −24
Explain your Yes on Vladimir Putin
Explain your No on Vladimir Putin
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kim Jong Un
30% market probability
30%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 30%
+70 / −30
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 70%
+30 / −70
Explain your Yes on Kim Jong Un
Explain your No on Kim Jong Un
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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King Mohammed VI
18% market probability
18%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 18%
+82 / −18
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 82%
+18 / −82
Explain your Yes on King Mohammed VI
Explain your No on King Mohammed VI
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Changpeng Zhao
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Changpeng Zhao
Explain your No on Changpeng Zhao
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Aleksandr Lukashenko
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on Aleksandr Lukashenko
Explain your No on Aleksandr Lukashenko
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pope Leo XIV
7% market probability
7%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 93%
+7 / −93
Explain your Yes on Pope Leo XIV
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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MrBeast
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on MrBeast
Explain your No on MrBeast
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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iShowSpeed
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on iShowSpeed
Explain your No on iShowSpeed
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lai Ching-te
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Lai Ching-te
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nick Fuentes
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Nick Fuentes
Explain your No on Nick Fuentes
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jair Bolsonaro
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Jair Bolsonaro
Explain your No on Jair Bolsonaro
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Yoon Suk Yeol
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Yoon Suk Yeol
Explain your No on Yoon Suk Yeol
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nicolás Maduro
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Nicolás Maduro
Explain your No on Nicolás Maduro
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ali Khamenei
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ali Khamenei
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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