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Who will Trump meet with in 2026?
Top outcomes
Xi Jinping
100%
Javier Milei
100%
Keir Starmer
100%
Lula da Silva
100%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual meets with Donald Trump between January 1, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A meeting is defined as any encounter where both listed individual and Trump are present and interact with each other in person.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
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$975K Vol.
Closes Jan 1, 2027
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$975.2k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$975K Vol.
Xi Jinping
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Javier Milei
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Javier Milei
Explain your No on Javier Milei
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Keir Starmer
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Keir Starmer
Explain your No on Keir Starmer
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lula da Silva
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Lula da Silva
Explain your No on Lula da Silva
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Friedrich Merz
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Friedrich Merz
Explain your No on Friedrich Merz
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Giorgia Meloni
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Giorgia Meloni
Explain your No on Giorgia Meloni
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ahmed al-Sharaa
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Ahmed al-Sharaa
Explain your No on Ahmed al-Sharaa
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Volodymyr Zelenskyy
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Explain your No on Volodymyr Zelenskyy
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Abdel Fattah El-Sisi
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Abdel Fattah El-Sisi
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Maria Corina Machado
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
Explain your Yes on Maria Corina Machado
Explain your No on Maria Corina Machado
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mohammed bin Salman
64% market probability
64%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 64%
+36 / −64
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 36%
+64 / −36
Explain your Yes on Mohammed bin Salman
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Vladimir Putin
48% market probability
48%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 48%
+52 / −48
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 52%
+48 / −52
Explain your Yes on Vladimir Putin
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Kim Jong Un
32% market probability
32%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 32%
+68 / −32
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 68%
+32 / −68
Explain your Yes on Kim Jong Un
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Delcy Rodríguez
22% market probability
22%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 78%
+22 / −78
Explain your Yes on Delcy Rodríguez
Explain your No on Delcy Rodríguez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Aleksandr Lukashenko
22% market probability
22%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 22%
+78 / −22
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 78%
+22 / −78
Explain your Yes on Aleksandr Lukashenko
Explain your No on Aleksandr Lukashenko
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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King Mohammed VI
19% market probability
19%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 19%
+81 / −19
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 81%
+19 / −81
Explain your Yes on King Mohammed VI
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Changpeng Zhao
12% market probability
12%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 12%
+88 / −12
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 88%
+12 / −88
Explain your Yes on Changpeng Zhao
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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MrBeast
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on MrBeast
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pope Leo XIV
7% market probability
7%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 93%
+7 / −93
Explain your Yes on Pope Leo XIV
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nick Fuentes
7% market probability
7%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 93%
+7 / −93
Explain your Yes on Nick Fuentes
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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iShowSpeed
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on iShowSpeed
Explain your No on iShowSpeed
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jair Bolsonaro
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Jair Bolsonaro
Explain your No on Jair Bolsonaro
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nicolás Maduro
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Nicolás Maduro
Explain your No on Nicolás Maduro
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Yoon Suk Yeol
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Yoon Suk Yeol
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Lai Ching-te
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Lai Ching-te
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ali Khamenei
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Ali Khamenei
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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