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Maduro's Wife Cilia Flores released from custody by...?

Top outcomes

December 31 41%
January 9 0%
January 31 0%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes". If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$1.3M Vol. Closed Jan 31, 2026

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$1.3m Vol.

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$1.3M Vol.

December 31

41% market probability

41%
Yes 41% +59 / −41 No 59% +41 / −59

January 9

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

January 31

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this market is no longer accepting forecasts.

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