Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

September 30 8% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$932K Vol.
Polymarket World

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Augusto Cury 55% Yes No
Ronaldo Caiado 22% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$915K Vol.
Polymarket

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

AfD 99% Yes No
CDU 1% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$890K Vol.
Polymarket

Quebec General Election Winner

PQ 67% Yes No
CAQ 26% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$874K Vol.
Polymarket

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

December 31 24% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$867K Vol.
Polymarket World

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

December 31 95% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$845K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?

December 31 97% Yes No
October 31 96% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$840K Vol.
Polymarket

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$823K Vol.
Polymarket World

Weed rescheduled by...?

December 31 26% Yes No
September 30 14% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$800K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Iran Reconstruction Funding 12% Yes No
1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium 10% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$795K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026 5% Yes No
September 30, 2026 1% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$794K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
August 31, 2026 0% Yes No
$792K Vol.
Polymarket

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

No meeting by December 31 50% Yes No
China 40% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$785K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

December 31 31% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$767K Vol.
Polymarket World

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Belgium 19% Yes No
New Zealand 15% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$758K Vol.
Polymarket World

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

No 16%
Yes 84%
$751K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$748K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

September 30 4% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$661K Vol.
Polymarket

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$653K Vol.
Polymarket

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$635K Vol.
Polymarket World

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$628K Vol.
Polymarket

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D) 64% Yes No
Mike Rogers (R) 36% Yes No
$624K Vol.
Polymarket

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

AfD 88% Yes No
SPD 13% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$615K Vol.
Polymarket

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei 50% Yes No
Axel Kicillof 42% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$588K Vol.
Polymarket