Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?
September 30
8%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$932K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Augusto Cury
55%
Yes
No
Ronaldo Caiado
22%
Yes
No
+17 more outcomes
$915K Vol.
Polymarket
Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD
99%
Yes
No
CDU
1%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$890K Vol.
Polymarket
Quebec General Election Winner
PQ
67%
Yes
No
CAQ
26%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$874K Vol.
Polymarket
Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?
December 31
24%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$867K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?
December 31
95%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$845K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
December 31
97%
Yes
No
October 31
96%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$840K Vol.
Polymarket
Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$823K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Weed rescheduled by...?
December 31
26%
Yes
No
September 30
14%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$800K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
Iran Reconstruction Funding
12%
Yes
No
1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium
10%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$795K Vol.
Polymarket
U.S. nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026
5%
Yes
No
September 30, 2026
1%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$794K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
December 31, 2026
8%
Yes
No
August 31, 2026
0%
Yes
No
$792K Vol.
Polymarket
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31
50%
Yes
No
China
40%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$785K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?
December 31
31%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$767K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?
Belgium
19%
Yes
No
New Zealand
15%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$758K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
No
16%
Yes
84%
$751K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$748K Vol.
Polymarket
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?
September 30
4%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$661K Vol.
Polymarket
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
No
88%
Yes
12%
$653K Vol.
Polymarket
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$635K Vol.
Polymarket
World
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$628K Vol.
Polymarket
Michigan Senate Election Winner
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
64%
Yes
No
Mike Rogers (R)
36%
Yes
No
$624K Vol.
Polymarket
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD
88%
Yes
No
SPD
13%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$615K Vol.
Polymarket
Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Javier Milei
50%
Yes
No
Axel Kicillof
42%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$588K Vol.
Polymarket
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