Resolved
Politics
Polymarket
Who will advance from the California Governor primary?
Top outcomes
Xavier Becerra
100%
Steve Hilton
100%
Sophia Brink
0%
Zoltan Istvan
0%
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of California is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. The top two candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of California.
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of California. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 California gubernatorial primary takes place by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of California as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, specifically the Office of the Secretary of State.
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Resolved outcome: Xavier Becerra
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$2.2m Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$2.2M Vol.
Xavier Becerra
100% market probability
100%
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
No 0%
+100 / −0
Steve Hilton
100% market probability
100%
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
No 0%
+100 / −0
Sophia Brink
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Zoltan Istvan
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Ché Ahn
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Ryan Tillman
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Katie Porter
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Ethan Agarwal
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Kyle Langford
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Daniel Mercuri
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Ramsey Robinson
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Derek Grasty
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Brandon Jones
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Thunder Parley
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Antonio Villaraigosa
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Matt Mahan
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Tom Steyer
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
David Serpa
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Jimmy Parker
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Eric Swalwell
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Carolina Buhler
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Leonard Jackson
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Sharifah Hardie
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Nicholas Thompson
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Leo Zacky
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
David Thelen
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Ian Calderon
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Dylan Colbert
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Tony Thurmond
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Elaine Culotti
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Raji Rab
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Betty Yee
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Butch Ware
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Chad Bianco
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Javen Allen
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Nicki Minaj
0% market probability
0%
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
No 100%
+0 / −100
Forecasts are closed because this market is no longer accepting forecasts.
Public forecast history
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Forecast
Xavier Becerra
· Polymarket 95%
· +5 /−95
✓ Correct forecast
Correct
Discussion
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