Resolved Politics Polymarket

Who visited Epstein's Island?

Top outcomes

Richard Branson 100%
Steven Tisch 2%
Bill Clinton 2%
Harvey Weinstein 2%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if evidence is made public confirming that the listed individual previously visited Little St. James by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes but is not limited to flight logs, photographs, videos, court records, or sworn testimony that clearly place the listed individual on the island. Public confirmation from the listed individual that they visited Little St. James will also qualify for a “Yes” resolution. If any release of Epstein-related files is carried out by the United States federal government within 48 hours of this market's resolution time, this market will remain open for 48 hours after the resolution time to allow for evidence of visits to Little St. James to be investigated. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

$1.9M Vol. Closes Jun 30, 2026
Resolved outcome: Richard Branson

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$1.9m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$1.9M Vol.

Richard Branson

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Steven Tisch

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Bill Clinton

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Harvey Weinstein

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Bill Gates

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Noam Chomsky

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Kevin Spacey

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Michael Jackson

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Woody Allen

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Donald Trump

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Bill Cosby

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Steve Bannon

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Deepak Chopra

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Jay-Z

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Elon Musk

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Peter Attia

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

Hillary Clinton

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Marco Rubio

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Forecasts are closed for this market.

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