Open Pop Culture Polymarket

Elon Musk # tweets June 5 - June 12, 2026?

Top outcomes

220-239 36%
200-219 34%
240-259 14%
180-199 8%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 5 12:00 PM ET to June 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

$3.4M Vol. Closes Jun 12, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$3.4m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$3.4M Vol.

220-239

36% market probability

36%
Yes 36% +64 / −36 No 64% +36 / −64

200-219

34% market probability

34%
Yes 34% +66 / −34 No 66% +34 / −66

240-259

14% market probability

14%
Yes 14% +86 / −14 No 86% +14 / −86

180-199

8% market probability

8%
Yes 8% +92 / −8 No 92% +8 / −92

260-279

3% market probability

3%
Yes 3% +97 / −3 No 97% +3 / −97

280-299

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

160-179

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

300-319

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

500+

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

140-159

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

320-339

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

340-359

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

360-379

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

380-399

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

400-419

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

420-439

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

440-459

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

460-479

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

480-499

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

<20

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

20-39

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

40-59

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

60-79

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

80-99

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

100-119

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

120-139

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
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