Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

Darline Graham Nordone (R) 84% Yes No
Annie Andrews (D) 16% Yes No
$808K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026 5% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$801K Vol.
Polymarket

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 2028 24% Yes No
December 31, 2027 20% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$779K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$770K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$767K Vol.
Polymarket World

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Belgium 11% Yes No
New Zealand 9% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$763K Vol.
Polymarket World

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 2026 34% Yes No
November 30, 2026 22% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$761K Vol.
Polymarket

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

December 31, 2027 22% Yes No
December 31, 2026 2% Yes No
$753K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 2028 26% Yes No
December 31, 2027 12% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$742K Vol.
Polymarket

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 2028 29% Yes No
June 30, 2027 16% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$732K Vol.
Polymarket

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

David Crowley (D) 80% Yes No
Tom Tiffany (R) 20% Yes No
$726K Vol.
Polymarket

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 2028 20% Yes No
December 31, 2027 12% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$700K Vol.
Polymarket

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R) 72% Yes No
Independent 28% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$696K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

China 100% Yes No
France 100% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$682K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

No 1%
Yes 99%
$672K Vol.
Polymarket

Houthis enter Aden by...?

December 31 26% Yes No
November 30 14% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$669K Vol.
Polymarket

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$642K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia invade another country by...?

December 31, 2027 19% Yes No
December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
$619K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$618K Vol.
Polymarket

Who wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?

Oil ≥ $85; D Senate 59% Yes No
Oil ≥ $85; R Senate 31% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$618K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CXMT 31% Yes No
CATL 26% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$607K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-24 42% Yes No
<20 26% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$599K Vol.
Polymarket

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R) 74% Yes No
Gina Hinojosa (D) 24% Yes No
$587K Vol.
Polymarket

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$577K Vol.
Polymarket